Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000031 0.000033 0.000036 0.000039 0.000043 0.000046
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000052
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000025 0.000029 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000055
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067
2026-01-25 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000050 0.000065 0.000087
2026-02-01 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000087
2026-02-08 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000047 0.000064 0.000088
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000065 0.000092
2026-02-22 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000046 0.000064 0.000093
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000093
2026-03-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000063 0.000094
2026-03-15 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000063 0.000097
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000042 0.000063 0.000098
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000041 0.000062 0.000099
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041 0.000063 0.000104
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000067 0.000113
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000052 0.000084 0.000147
2026-04-26 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000050 0.000083 0.000147
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000147
2026-05-10 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000049 0.000082 0.000152
2026-05-17 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000029 0.000048 0.000082 0.000153